Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.037159 0.040627 0.044278 0.048413 0.052966 0.057831 0.063428
2026-02-08 0.030004 0.034835 0.040258 0.046809 0.054523 0.063339 0.074205
2026-02-15 0.025018 0.030537 0.037072 0.045409 0.055803 0.068386 0.084852
2026-02-22 0.022120 0.028180 0.035693 0.045743 0.058910 0.075680 0.098820
2026-03-01 0.019159 0.025310 0.033238 0.044282 0.059385 0.079483 0.108534
2026-03-08 0.016380 0.022322 0.030244 0.041672 0.057893 0.080325 0.114101
2026-03-15 0.014637 0.020521 0.028611 0.040665 0.058374 0.083755 0.123459
2026-03-22 0.013690 0.019716 0.028244 0.041346 0.061238 0.090741 0.138627
2026-03-29 0.012878 0.019010 0.027926 0.042020 0.064084 0.097878 0.154666
2026-04-05 0.011879 0.017930 0.026944 0.041566 0.065103 0.102227 0.166629
2026-04-12 0.011010 0.016969 0.026048 0.041135 0.066071 0.106506 0.178813
2026-04-19 0.010155 0.015955 0.024979 0.040317 0.066297 0.109535 0.189089
2026-04-26 0.009232 0.014778 0.023588 0.038896 0.065458 0.110813 0.196657
2026-05-03 0.008465 0.013801 0.022449 0.037804 0.065086 0.112869 0.205875
2026-05-10 0.007787 0.012919 0.021398 0.036770 0.064713 0.114865 0.215173
2026-05-17 0.007414 0.012523 0.021130 0.037073 0.066745 0.121366 0.233745
2026-05-24 0.006832 0.011722 0.020104 0.035924 0.065989 0.122591 0.242011
2026-05-31 0.006156 0.010709 0.018635 0.033847 0.063296 0.119864 0.241932
2026-06-07 0.005734 0.010122 0.017884 0.033045 0.062979 0.121712 0.251530
2026-06-14 0.005542 0.009937 0.017846 0.033591 0.065342 0.129090 0.273712
2026-06-21 0.005362 0.009760 0.017809 0.034130 0.067730 0.136724 0.297304
2026-06-28 0.005076 0.009366 0.017336 0.033768 0.068230 0.140452 0.312493
2026-07-05 0.004814 0.009000 0.016891 0.033424 0.068732 0.144216 0.328170